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Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.Opposing offenses have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in the league.Adam Trautman has received a whopping 7.6% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 80th percentile among tight ends.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The New Orleans Saints have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 60.6 plays per game.THE BLITZ projects Adam Trautman to be a less important option in his team's passing game this week (2.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.8% in games he has played).Adam Trautman has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL among tight ends, hauling in just 64.1% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 20th percentile.Adam Trautman has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among TEs, averaging a measly 6.57 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 22nd percentile.The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.48 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-least in football.
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