Adam Trautman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Adam Trautman

NFL · Player Props

Adam Trautman

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Adam Trautman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+103/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 9th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Adam Trautman has run a route on 56.9% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile among TEs.
Adam Trautman has received a monstrous 8.4% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 80th percentile among tight ends.
The Atlanta Falcons linebackers project as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.9 plays per game.
Adam Trautman has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league among tight ends, hauling in a measly 64.1% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 19th percentile.
Adam Trautman has been among the least efficient receivers in football among TEs, averaging a mere 6.57 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 23rd percentile.

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