Adam Thielen Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Adam Thielen

NFL · Player Props

Adam Thielen

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Adam Thielen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 66.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 6.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 133.0 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.
The Panthers have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.4 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.
In this contest, Adam Thielen is expected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 98th percentile among wideouts with 10.8 targets.

Favors Under

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

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