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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2600/-4300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3900 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -4300.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Steelers to pass on 61.4% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • Aaron Rodgers has not attempted to run the ball himself near the goal line at all this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have been the 10th-most run-oriented team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 48.1% red zone run rate.
  • The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 50.0 plays per game.

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