My Account Log Out
 
 
Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-164/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -164.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Steelers to pass on 61.4% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • Aaron Rodgers's throwing precision has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 63.8% to 68.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers rank as the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 51.9% red zone pass rate.
  • The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 50.0 plays per game.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™