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Aaron Rodgers TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -156.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may slide.

Opposing QBs have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: most in the league.

Aaron Rodgers's throwing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.8% to 68.6%.

With an excellent rate of 2.00 per game (94th percentile), Aaron Rodgers rates as one of the leading touchdown throwers in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 51.0% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL in this regard has been the Steelers.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 49.3 plays per game.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

More Aaron Rodgers Player Props

Aaron Rodgers TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8