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Aaron Rodgers
NFL · Player Props
Aaron Rodgers
QB · Green Bay Packers
TD Passes
Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 13, 2022 Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC
NFL Props Aaron Rodgers TD Passes

Aaron Rodgers TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +102.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 60.9% red zone pass rate.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Aaron Rodgers has been among the top touchdown passers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 1.75 per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-highest rate in the league against the Chicago Bears defense this year (74.3%).
  • The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-most sluggish in football since the start of last season.
Favors Under
  • The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 59.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 30.8 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-least of all QBs.
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