Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 11:27 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+350/-430).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -430.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3 points.
The leading projections forecast the Steelers to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Steelers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 58.8 plays per game.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in football (152 per game) versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, New Orleans's DT corps has been lousy this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Steelers as the 9th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 39.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
Aaron Rodgers has averaged a measly 0.7 carries per game last year, one of the lowest rates in the NFL when it comes to QBs (7th percentile).
With a terrible total of 3.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (9th percentile), Aaron Rodgers places as one of the worst running QBs in football last year.

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