Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 14, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 39.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projections to call just 61.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.
In this game, Aaron Rodgers is predicted by the model to accumulate the 9th-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 2.6.
With a lousy rate of 3.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (9th percentile), Aaron Rodgers has been as one of the weakest rushing quarterbacks in football last year.
This year, the stout Buccaneers run defense has conceded a measly 81.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 4th-best in the NFL.