Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 24, 2026 12:58 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers offense to be the 2nd-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.27 seconds per snap.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has had the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, allowing 5.13 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

A throwing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
The projections expect the Steelers as the 5th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 38.2% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Aaron Rodgers to notch 2.6 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the 9th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Aaron Rodgers has grinded out just 3.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the lowest marks in football when it comes to quarterbacks (10th percentile).
Aaron Rodgers checks in as one of the bottom QBs in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging just 1.00 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 23rd percentile.