Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+488/-609).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -609.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Steelers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run just 63.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest on the slate this week.
While Aaron Rodgers has accounted for 3.7% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Pittsburgh's running game in this game at 10.3%.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New England's collection of DTs has been awful since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

A throwing game script is suggested by the Steelers being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.
The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 2nd-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 36.9% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers since the start of last season (a measly 54.2 per game on average).
This week, Aaron Rodgers is forecasted by the model to total the 4th-fewest carries among all QBs with 2.1.
With a very bad record of 3.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (10th percentile), Aaron Rodgers stands as one of the worst rushing QBs in the NFL last year.