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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • Aaron Rodgers has been much more involved in his team's rushing attack this year (6.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (0.0%).
  • This year, the anemic New England Patriots run defense has surrendered a massive 141.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-most in the league.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, New England's LB corps has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 3rd-least run-centric team in the league (35.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Jets.
  • The predictive model expects the Jets to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Aaron Rodgers to accrue 1.8 rush attempts this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
  • Aaron Rodgers has generated a measly 6.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in football when it comes to QBs (21st percentile).

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