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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Rodgers has been a much bigger part of his offense's running game this season (7.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (0.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jets have been the 2nd-least run-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 31.7% run rate.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Our trusted projections expect Aaron Rodgers to notch 1.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • With an awful rate of 4.7 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (23rd percentile), Aaron Rodgers stands among the worst rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

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