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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is implied by the Jets being a 4-point favorite this week.

While Aaron Rodgers has earned 0.0% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in New York's rushing attack in this contest at 8.1%.

The Titans safeties project as the 30th-worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the New York Jets to be the 10th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 40.3% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and rushing stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league. We should be able to expect some correction with better weather in this game.

The projections expect Aaron Rodgers to earn 2.1 carries this week, on balance: the 4th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

Since the start of last season, the weak Tennessee Titans run defense has given up a whopping 3.95 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing run game: the 28th-biggest rate in football.

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