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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

San Francisco 49ers vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher run volume.
  • While Aaron Rodgers has been responsible for 0.0% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of New York's running game in this game at 8.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Jets being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New York Jets to run on 37.0% of their downs: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New York Jets are expected by the projections to run just 63.0 total plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The New York Jets have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football last year, which should lead to higher pass volume, lower running volume, and improved passing offense effectiveness when facing more favorable conditions in this week's contest.
  • In this game, Aaron Rodgers is projected by the projection model to earn the fewest carries out of all quarterbacks with 1.9.

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