Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year at blocking for rushers.
The Green Bay Packers have incorporated some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 30.07 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to earn 1.5 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.
Aaron Rodgers is not much of a runner and has accounted for a mere 1.1% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s rush attempts this year, ranking in the 8th percentile among quarterbacks.
Aaron Rodgers has been among the bottom quarterbacks in football at generating extra running yardage, averaging just 0.50 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 9th percentile.

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