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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 235.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 234.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 235.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New York Jets to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 62.5% pass rate.

In racking up a massive 36.7 pass attempts per game this year, Aaron Rodgers rates among the top QBs in the league (92nd percentile) in this respect.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year.

Aaron Rodgers rates as one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging an exceptional 253.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the model to run just 63.5 total plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Aaron Rodgers ranks as one of the least accurate passers in football this year with a 63.0% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

This year, the stout Houston Texans defense has yielded a mere 59.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the best rate in the NFL.

This year, the daunting Texans defense has conceded the least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a measly 6.6 yards.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Houston's group of LBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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