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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 225.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 232.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 225.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets rank as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 68.3% pass rate.
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • In registering a whopping 37.3 pass attempts per game this year, Aaron Rodgers stands among the top quarterbacks in the NFL (87th percentile) for this stat.
  • The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • With a remarkable record of 252.0 adjusted passing yards per game (82nd percentile), Aaron Rodgers has been as one of the best quarterbacks in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • Aaron Rodgers checks in as one of the least on-target passers in the NFL this year with a 63.1% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 23rd percentile.

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