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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 227.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 225.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 227.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jets to pass on 61.1% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this game, Aaron Rodgers is forecasted by our trusted projection set to average the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.0.

Opposing QBs have averaged 45.0 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jets are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

This year, the tough Minnesota Vikings defense has allowed the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to the opposing side: a mere 4.1 YAC.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Minnesota's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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