Aaron Rodgers Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Pass Attempts

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 3:37 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+101/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (62.3% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are projected by the model to run 64.8 total plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week.

Favors Under

This game's line implies a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Steelers last year (a lowly 53.9 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Falcons defense last year: 10th-fewest in football.

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