Aaron Rodgers Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Interceptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 3:37 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (62.3% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are projected by the model to run 64.8 total plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

This game's line implies a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Steelers last year (a lowly 53.9 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Falcons defense last year: 10th-fewest in football.
Aaron Rodgers has thrown a lowly 0.38 interceptions per game last year, grading out in the 78th percentile among QBs.
The Falcons have intercepted 0.94 passes per game last year, grading out as the 5th-best defense in the NFL by this statistic.