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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Interceptions
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-106/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the New York Jets.
  • In averaging a massive 37.6 pass attempts per game this year, Aaron Rodgers slots in among the top quarterbacks in the league (94th percentile) in this regard.
  • The Jets offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • New England's defense ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year when it comes to making interceptions, compiling a lowly 0.45 per game.
  • When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's unit has been very bad this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Jets to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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