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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Interceptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +175 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
  • The Green Bay Packers have utilized some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their plays since the start of last season (6th-most in football), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 119.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Aaron Rodgers has thrown a mere 0.27 interceptions per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 95th percentile among QBs.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have intercepted 1.03 targets per game since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-best defense in the NFL by this statistic.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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