Aaron Rodgers Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Interceptions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +175 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
The Green Bay Packers have utilized some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their plays since the start of last season (6th-most in football), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 119.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Aaron Rodgers has thrown a mere 0.27 interceptions per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 95th percentile among QBs.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have intercepted 1.03 targets per game since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-best defense in the NFL by this statistic.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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