My Account Log Out
 
 
Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Interceptions
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+250/-360).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -340 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -360.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 4th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 65.2% pass rate.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Chicago Bears have intercepted 0.51 balls per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 3rd-worst defense in the NFL by this metric
  • The Chicago Bears cornerbacks rank as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
  • The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a big 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 34.2 passes in this game, on average: the 11th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
  • Aaron Rodgers has thrown just 0.29 interceptions per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 97th percentile among QBs.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™