Aaron Rodgers Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Interceptions

Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 18, 2022 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Tennessee Titans pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.
The Green Bay Packers have incorporated some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the NFL), which can keep the defense guessing and improve offensive efficiency.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 32.9 passes this week, on average: the 10th-least of all QBs.
The Tennessee Titans have intercepted 0.88 targets per game this year, grading out as the 10th-best defense in the league by this statistic.
The Tennessee Titans safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

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