Aaron Rodgers Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Completions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 24, 2026 12:58 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-103/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
The model projects the Steelers to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Steelers offense to be the 2nd-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.27 seconds per snap.
In this week's contest, Aaron Rodgers is projected by the model to average the 6th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.5.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Bengals defensive ends grade out as the 7th-best group of DEs in football since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.