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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Completions
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the New York Jets to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 62.5% pass rate.
  • In racking up a massive 36.7 pass attempts per game this year, Aaron Rodgers rates among the top QBs in the league (92nd percentile) in this respect.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the model to run just 63.5 total plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Aaron Rodgers ranks as one of the least accurate passers in football this year with a 63.0% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 23rd percentile.
  • This year, the stout Houston Texans defense has yielded a mere 59.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the best rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Houston's group of LBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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