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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Completions
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Aaron Rodgers Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-180/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the New York Jets.

In averaging a massive 37.6 pass attempts per game this year, Aaron Rodgers slots in among the top quarterbacks in the league (94th percentile) in this regard.

The Jets offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's unit has been very bad this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this game.

The predictive model expects the Jets to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Aaron Rodgers rates as one of the least accurate QBs in the league this year with a 62.9% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 16th percentile.

More Aaron Rodgers Player Props

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