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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Completions
Player Prop Week 2

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets

Aaron Rodgers Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-118/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -107 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New York Jets as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 59.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and rushing stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league. We should be able to expect some correction with better weather in this game.

Since the start of last season, the porous Titans defense has yielded a monstrous 72.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Jets being a 4-point favorite this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New York O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

The Titans safeties grade out as the 6th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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