Aaron Rodgers Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Completions

Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 4:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Rodgers has been among the most on-target QBs in the NFL this year with a terrific 70.5% Completion%, grading out in the 97th percentile.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in the league versus the New York Giants defense since the start of last season (71.4%).
The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 6th-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.
The New York Giants defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the worst in the league since the start of last season.
The Green Bay Packers have utilized some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their plays since the start of last season (6th-most in football), which masks an offenses true intentions and may make them more effective.

Favors Under

The Packers are a heavy 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 4th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 33.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 11th-least of all quarterbacks.

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