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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Completions
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 4th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 65.2% pass rate.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Aaron Rodgers has been among the most on-target QBs in the NFL since the start of last season with an impressive 70.3% Completion%, grading out in the 100th percentile.
  • The Chicago Bears cornerbacks rank as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
  • The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a big 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 34.2 passes in this game, on average: the 11th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-lowest level in football versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season (67.7%).

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