Aaron Rodgers Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Completions

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 11:50 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 4th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 65.2% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Aaron Rodgers has been among the most on-target QBs in the NFL since the start of last season with an impressive 70.3% Completion%, grading out in the 100th percentile.
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks rank as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Packers are a big 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 34.2 passes in this game, on average: the 11th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-lowest level in football versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season (67.7%).

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