Aaron Rodgers Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Completions

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-107/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-highest rate in the league against the Chicago Bears defense this year (74.3%).
The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-most sluggish in football since the start of last season.
The Green Bay Packers have incorporated some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their plays since the start of last season (6th-most in the NFL), which can keep the defense guessing and improve offensive efficiency.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 59.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 30.8 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-least of all QBs.

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