Aaron Rodgers Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 1, 2026 7:18 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-122/-108).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Steelers to run on 40.0% of their chances: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Steelers are anticipated by the predictive model to call just 62.7 total plays in this contest: the 11th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Steelers since the start of last season (a lowly 54.6 per game on average).
In this week's game, Aaron Rodgers is forecasted by the projections to accrue the 4th-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 2.3.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's group of DEs has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, projecting as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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