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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Aaron Rodgers Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Rodgers has been a much bigger part of his offense's running game this season (7.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (0.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jets have been the 2nd-least run-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 31.7% run rate.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Our trusted projections expect Aaron Rodgers to notch 1.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Pittsburgh's safety corps has been terrific this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

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