Aaron Rodgers Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · New York Jets

Carries

New York Jets vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 11, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Jets, who are favored by 4.5 points.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Jets to be the 7th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 40.2% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the New York Jets this year (just 56.2 per game on average).
In this week's contest, Aaron Rodgers is anticipated by the projections to accrue the 10th-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 1.7.
Aaron Rodgers is not a mobile quarterback and has accounted for a mere 4.5% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 24th percentile when it comes to QBs.
The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles rank as the 7th-best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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