Aaron Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Aaron Jones

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Jones

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Green Bay Packers · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-109/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Green Bay Packers O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football last year in run-blocking.
This year, the poor Las Vegas Raiders run defense has yielded a colossal 143.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 5th-worst in football.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 36.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Packers to run the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Packers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
Raiders defensive ends grade out as the 6th-best collection of DEs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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