Aaron Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Aaron Jones

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Jones

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 8:11 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 62.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Jones has garnered 49.6% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
Aaron Jones has grinded out 64.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in football among running backs (88th percentile).
Aaron Jones's ground effectiveness (5.13 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (97th percentile among running backs).
Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-most yards in the league (159 per game) versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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