Aaron Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Aaron Jones

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Jones

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
Aaron Jones has been given 50.7% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
Aaron Jones has rushed for significantly more yards per game (62.0) this season than he did last season (50.0).
Aaron Jones's ground efficiency (4.99 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (92nd percentile among running backs).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense as the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.43 seconds per play.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles grade out as the best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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