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Aaron Jones
NFL · Player Props
Aaron Jones
RB · Green Bay Packers
Receptions
Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 11, 2023 Updated Nov 19, 2023 5:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Aaron Jones Receptions

Aaron Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -145.

Favors Over
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Packers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
  • In this week's contest, Aaron Jones is projected by the projection model to slot into the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.0 targets.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.
Favors Under
  • The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 55.1 plays per game.
  • Aaron Jones's 41.3% Route Participation Rate this season marks a meaningful decline in his passing attack utilization over last season's 51.3% rate.
  • Aaron Jones's 73.1% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 82.4% figure.
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