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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Aaron Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+131/-165).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.3% pass rate.
  • The Green Bay Packers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
  • Aaron Jones has run a route on 57.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to total 4.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
  • Aaron Jones has been among the leading RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 2.9 receptions per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • Aaron Jones's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 82.8% to 76.1%.
  • The Washington Commanders pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (71.4%) versus running backs this year (71.4%).

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