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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

Aaron Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+114/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -144.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to accumulate 4.8 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among running backs.

Aaron Jones has been heavily involved in his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 13.8% this year, which ranks him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.

The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Aaron Jones has been among the top pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a stellar 3.7 receptions per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 30.07 seconds per play.

The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers rank as the 9th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

The Green Bay Packers O-line has given their QB a measly 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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