My Account Log Out
 
Aaron Jones
NFL · Player Props
Aaron Jones
RB · Green Bay Packers
Carries
Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 11, 2023 Updated Nov 19, 2023 6:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Aaron Jones Carries

Aaron Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-128/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -101.

Favors Over
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • In this contest, Aaron Jones is projected by the predictive model to finish in the 77th percentile among RBs with 13.6 carries.
  • Out of all RBs, Aaron Jones grades out in the 80th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 47.3% of the workload in his team's run game.
  • The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's collection of DEs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.
Favors Under
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Packers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Green Bay Packers to run on 40.6% of their chances: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 55.1 plays per game.
More Aaron Jones Props Data by WriteNow™
About WriteNow