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Aaron Jones
NFL · Player Props
Aaron Jones
RB · Green Bay Packers
Carries
Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 13, 2022 Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC
NFL Props Aaron Jones Carries

Aaron Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +100.

Favors Over
  • The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 9th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to accrue 14.0 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
  • Aaron Jones has earned 53.9% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 59.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.
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