My Account Log Out

reorder

Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Aaron Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 9th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to accrue 14.0 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among running backs.

Aaron Jones has earned 53.9% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 59.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

More Aaron Jones Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™