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Aaron Jones
NFL · Player Props
Aaron Jones
RB · Green Bay Packers
Carries
Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2022 Updated Nov 18, 2022 12:11 AM UTC
NFL Props Aaron Jones Carries

Aaron Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -114.

Favors Over
  • The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to total 14.0 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
  • Aaron Jones has earned 52.7% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year in run blocking.
  • The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans defensive ends rank as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
  • The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.
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