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T.Y. Hilton Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 15
Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots
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T.Y. Hilton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-105/-125) with an implied projection of 27.2 yards.
The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -125.
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PROS:
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This game will be played in a dome, meaning zero wind and a higher chance to complete passes.
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CONS:
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The Colts project to run 59.9 plays in this contest, the #25-most of the week.
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NEUTRAL:
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Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Hilton is projected for 2.0% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #75 percentile among wide receivers.This offenses projects to pass 59.3% of the time in this contest (#14 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
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PROJECTION:
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THE BLITZ sees him putting up 34.0 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 55.8% of the time.
THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $9.35. It's return on investment would yeild 9%.
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© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
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