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Tajae Sharpe

Tajae Sharpe Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 12

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons
Tajae Sharpe Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Sharpe is projected for 5.7% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #95 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #3-most yards per target (9.57) against the Jaguars this season.
  • The Jaguars have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 76.5% of their targets this season, (#1-most in the league).
  • Jacksonville Jaguars cornerbacks rank as the #29 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have had the #10-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • The Falcons project to run 63.8 plays in this contest, the #7-most of the week.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Atlanta Falcons have run play-action on 27.3% of their passes this year, #11-most in the NFL.

  • CONS:
  • Jacksonville Jaguars safeties rank as the #9 unit in pass coverage.
  • Sharpe's offensive line has been #30 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Atlanta has faced the #23-most stacked boxes in the league this year (12.7%).

  • Sharpe has been on the field for 41.9% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #44 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 46.3% of Atlanta's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #43 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 7.0% -- #40 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Jacksonville's defense has allowed 167 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#11-most in football).
  • This offense passes the ball 62.0% of the time in a neutral context (#15 in the NFL).
  • This offenses projects to pass 60.7% of the time in this contest (#13 in the NFL) based on matchup dynamics.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 34.2 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 58.2% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $10.02. It's return on investment would yeild 9%.

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