My Account Log Out
Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 12

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -115.
  • Barkley has been the #41-leading rusher this season, tallying 37 yards per game on the ground.
  • He has been on the field for 53.3% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #79 percentile among running backs.
  • He has received 47.6% of New York's carries this year -- #28 percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Barkley is projected for 10.0% more of his team's carry share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #85 percentile among running backs.
  • The New York Giants have had the #8-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • The Giants project to run 65.0 total plays in this contest, the #2-most of the week.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have ranked #25 against the run this year, holding opponents to 123 yards per game on the ground.
  • Eagles defensive tackles have ranked #30 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.

  • CONS:
  • The New York Giants offensive line has ranked #25 in the NFL when it comes to run blocking this season.
  • New York has played in the #5-most bad-weather games (rain, snow, or 15 mph+) this year. Teams tend to run the ball more in bad-weather conditions, artificially inflating their play-calling Run%, which should balance back out under normal conditions.
  • New York is a 3.5 point underdog, indicating a passing game script.
  • This offense runs the ball 35.2% of the time in a neutral context (#25 in the NFL), and they project to run 35.2% of the time in this contest.
  • Eagles defensive ends have ranked #9 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Eagles safeties have ranked #4 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Stacking the box with extra defenders is a common strategy defenses uses to stop the run, and the New York Giants have faced a stacked box 15.9% of the time this season -- #10-most in football.

  • This offenses projects to runs 38.8% of the time in this contest (#19 in the NFL) based on matchup dynamics.
  • In terms of efficiency, Philadelphia's defense has allowed 4.50 yards per carry to opposing rushers (#18-least in football).
  • Eagles linebackers have ranked #13 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have stacked the box with 8 or more defenders 14.5% of the time this season, ranking as the #18 most in the league.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 61.5 Rushing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 55.6% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $4.58. It's return on investment would yeild 4%.

    Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
    © 2021 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™