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Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 15
Cleveland Browns vs Las Vegas Raiders
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Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 81.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 79.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 81.5 @ -115.
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PROS:
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Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Chubb is projected for 17.3% more of his team's carry share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks among the biggest increases among running backs this week.
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CONS:
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The Browns project to run 61.9 total plays in this contest, the #25-most of the week.
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NEUTRAL:
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This offenses projects to runs 43.3% of the time in this contest (#13 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
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PROJECTION:
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THE BLITZ sees him putting up 104.5 Rushing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 62.9% of the time.
THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $20.28. It's return on investment would yeild 18%.
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