| |
Laquon Treadwell Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 16
New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Laquon Treadwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -115.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
|
Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Treadwell is projected for 8.6% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #95 percentile among wide receivers.Opposing wideouts have put up the #3-most yards per target (9.28) against the Jets this season.New York Jets safeties rank as the #25 unit in pass coverage.The Jacksonville Jaguars have had the #1-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
|
In terms of efficiency, he has put up 7.45 yards per target this season, ranking in the #32 percentile.Treadwell has been in the #15 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 56.0% completion rate.The Jaguars project to run 61.9 plays in this contest, the #24-most of the week.This offenses projects to pass 56.4% of the time in this contest (#29 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Jacksonville has faced the #24-most stacked boxes in the league this year (11.1%).
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
|
Treadwell has been on the field for 58.4% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #62 percentile among wide receivers.He has run a route on 54.6% of Jacksonville's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #49 percentile among wide receivers.His target share this season has been 12.4% -- #57 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.New York's defense has allowed 150 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#22-most in football).The Jets have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 66.8% of their targets this season, (#14-most in the league).New York Jets cornerbacks rank as the #21 unit in pass coverage.This offense passes the ball 60.2% of the time in a neutral context (#17 in the NFL).Treadwell's offensive line has been #13 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Jacksonville Jaguars have run play-action on 25.9% of their passes this year, #15-most in the NFL.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROJECTION:
|
|
THE BLITZ sees him putting up 47.6 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 50.1% of the time.
THE BLITZ believes the OVER offers better odds, but both sides have negative expected value. The expected value on the OVER is -$7.26 and with a negative ROI of -6%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
| |
|
|
|
