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Laquon Treadwell

Laquon Treadwell Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 16

New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Laquon Treadwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -115.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Treadwell is projected for 8.6% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #95 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #3-most yards per target (9.28) against the Jets this season.
  • New York Jets safeties rank as the #25 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have had the #1-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.

  • CONS:
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 7.45 yards per target this season, ranking in the #32 percentile.
  • Treadwell has been in the #15 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 56.0% completion rate.
  • The Jaguars project to run 61.9 plays in this contest, the #24-most of the week.
  • This offenses projects to pass 56.4% of the time in this contest (#29 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Jacksonville has faced the #24-most stacked boxes in the league this year (11.1%).

  • Treadwell has been on the field for 58.4% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #62 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 54.6% of Jacksonville's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #49 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 12.4% -- #57 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • New York's defense has allowed 150 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#22-most in football).
  • The Jets have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 66.8% of their targets this season, (#14-most in the league).
  • New York Jets cornerbacks rank as the #21 unit in pass coverage.
  • This offense passes the ball 60.2% of the time in a neutral context (#17 in the NFL).
  • Treadwell's offensive line has been #13 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Jacksonville Jaguars have run play-action on 25.9% of their passes this year, #15-most in the NFL.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 47.6 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 50.1% of the time.

    THE BLITZ believes the OVER offers better odds, but both sides have negative expected value. The expected value on the OVER is -$7.26 and with a negative ROI of -6%.

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