| |
Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 14
Denver Broncos vs Detroit Lions
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -115.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
|
Raymond has been on the field for 69.3% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #72 percentile among wide receivers.He has run a route on 77.5% of Detroit's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #73 percentile among wide receivers.Denver Broncos cornerbacks rank as the #26 unit in pass coverage.Detroit is a 12.5 point underdog, indicating an extreme passing game script.This offenses projects to pass 61.4% of the time in this contest (#10 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
|
Opposing wideouts have put up the #24-most yards per target (7.87) against the Broncos this season.The Broncos have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 59.3% of their targets this season, (#29-most in the league).The Lions project to run 59.5 plays in this contest, the #28-most of the week.This offense passes the ball 58.2% of the time in a neutral context (#25 in the NFL).Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Detroit Lions have run play-action on 18.7% of their passes this year, #31-most in the NFL.Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Detroit has faced the #23-most stacked boxes in the league this year (12.4%).
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
|
His target share this season has been 13.3% -- #59 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Raymond is projected for 2.7% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #84 percentile among wide receivers.In terms of efficiency, he has put up 7.88 yards per target this season, ranking in the #44 percentile.Raymond has been in the #58 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 66.1% completion rate.Denver's defense has allowed 156 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#19-most in football).Denver Broncos safeties rank as the #22 unit in pass coverage.The Detroit Lions have had the #17-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.Raymond's offensive line has been #18 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.The Lions offensive line has given the QB 2.43 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#13-most time in the league).
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROJECTION:
|
|
THE BLITZ sees him putting up 38.3 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 57.8% of the time.
The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $9.36. It's return on investment would yeild 8%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
| |
|
|
|
